Investors, hedge funds and other large speculators have cut their bets on higher prices for Brent crude oil by close to 25 percent during the week ending on July 15, according to an announcement made by ICE. Prices shrunk to their lowest point in three months.
ICE declared that managers lowered their net long futures and options positions in Brent crude to 151,981 down from 201,568. Prices fell to a three-month low of $104.39 per barrel, crashing from $115 a barrel in the middle of June.
The New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) showed the same behaviors. Last week big investors shut down almost $6 billion worth of bullish bets, re-expressing the largest four-week fund exodus in history.
After about one year of negotiations Kohlberg Kravis Roberts purchased close to 25 percent of the Houston-based hedge fund BlackGold Capital Management LP. The deal is part of KKR & Co’s strategy to solidify their hedge fund bets.
BlackGold is a $1.4 billion credit firm, investing in natural resources and energy.
George Roberts, who is a co-founder of KKR and is from Houston, had heard about BlackGold and brought it into the discussion at KKR. The deal will allow KKR to share in the management of BlackGold and to be a partner in the incentive fees that BlackGold collects.
Erik Dybesland and Adam Flikerski, co-founders of BlackGold, explain that they will reinvest most of the money they will receive for the buy-in from KKR back into their funds. They say that they will continue to operate independently as well.
Entering the hedge fund sector is a way for KKR to diversify its investment portfolio, which is generally more dependent on corporate buyouts and related deals. But such deals have become a smaller part of KKR’s revenue. Analysts expect that the hedge fund industry will continue to grow as pension funds increase their stakes in alternative investments.
The investment in BlackGold is KKR’s second venture into the hedge fund space. Last year KKR also purchased a 24.9 percent stake in the Bermuda-based Nephila Capital Ltd.
Well-known for their ventures in leveraged buyouts and other private equity investments, the Blackstone Group is considering the launch of an aggressive hedge fund.
The fund will take off with about $500 million AUM and several teams of managers. Although this is a shift in strategy for Blackstone, this should not prove too daunting since Blackstone in the largest investment manager of hedge fund-fund of funds.
Blackstone says that the fund will be making “big, bold bets” and will “fund several teams of traders with hundreds of millions of dollars to place a relatively small number of large, highly concentrated wagers”.
Private equity firm Blackstone Group has decided to go against the trend and start a hedge fund whose strategy will be to make a small number of large investments. This behavior has been less popular of late as many hedge funds are currently refrain from making such concentrated, over-sized bets.
Blackstone is setting up a few teams of traders stocked with hundreds of millions of dollars to place a relatively small number of high-value investments. Taken together the investments will create one multi-strategy hedge fund which will be made available to the firm’s wealthier clients. Blackstone believes this strategy will hedge the overall risks.
What make hedge funds seductive to set up are the fees that are charged to manage them. There is usually a 2 percent annual maintenance fee and a 20 percent share in the profits. That is twice the amount even the most expensive fund of funds charge.
Blackstone is of course anticipating big rewards from this move, but it does not mean there are no risks, even big ones.
“This puts them more deeply in the equity long/short business, which they are not particularly famous for,” said Bob Olman, of Alpha Search Advisory Partners in Manhasset, N.Y.
The report stated that the attack was complex, disrupting the company’s trading strategy and sending information about its trading to offsite computers. The report does not mention the name of the company; however it is a client of BAE Systems.
“Paul Henninger, global product director at BAE Systems Applied Intelligence, said the hack represents one of the most complex he’s seen in a new wave of attacks designed to extract business strategy information from firms in a range of industries… ‘It’s pretty amazing,’ Henninger said in an interview Wednesday from London. ‘The level of business sophistication involved as opposed to technical sophistication involved was something we had not seen before.’ He said BAE technicians in recent weeks have also spotted a cyberattack that used malware to take over a large property and casualty insurer’s underwriting system. Using the compromised system, the criminals created fake insurance policies and filed claims against them, he said.”
-statement from CNBC.
According to Javers’ report it is not known if the hedge fund reported the event to the FBI or to the SEC. It did say that BAE guessed that the cost to the firm of the attack was in the “millions.”
The attack is reminiscent of the huge attacks reported by Target during the holiday shopping season last year, which involved a giant breach in their credit card security system. This most recent attack should be just one more in many wake-up calls directed at the financial industry.
As major sugar producers around the world face drought, hedge fund managers are betting on increased sugar prices by raising their net-long positions on this crucial commodity.
Hedge funds were bullish on sugar in anticipation of prices climbing to their highest point since last October due to the lack of rain from Brazil to India.
Continued dry weather in Brazil is only adding to the already bad yields from drought conditions during the first quarter of 2014, according Sao Paula researcher Job Economia & Planejamento.
In India, the second biggest producer of sugar after Brazil, the prospect of reduced rainfall is also putting sugar crops at risk for damage. Bruno Lima, a senior risk-management consultant at FCStone do Brasil, is expecting that global production will not be able to meet demand in the year ending on September 30, with things only getting worse next season.
“The drought in Brazil will probably have some impact,” said Peter Sorrentino, who helps manage $3.8 billion at Huntington Asset Advisors in Cincinnati. “We’ll see pretty decent agricultural price movement through the balance of the year, just because of weather-related issues.”
Former macro portfolio manager at the London office of Capula Investment Management jumped ship, returned to New York, and is launching hedge fund of his own.
Gei Lin was portfolio manager in the global rates business at BlackRock in New York before heading east to London to join Capula in July 2012 to work their systematic hedge fund. It seems it only took two years, or even less, to decide to go out on his own back in NYC. The hedge fund he will launch is as yet unnamed.
Due to Gei Lin’s background in quantitative analytics it is expected that the fund he begins will have a leaning towards quantitative analysis. Lin studied algorithmic game theory, advanced matrix computations, and computational tools and methods for finance at Cornell University.
Claiming the “changing environment” in the hedge fund investment world, Pine River Capital Management announced that the fund will no longer be accepting additional money into its existing fund.
According to a report published in the Financial Times, Pine River will add its name to the ever-growing list of hedge funds that are either circling the wagons and shutting out new funds, or returning money to investors as the funds close shop altogether.
Brian Taylor, founder of the Minnesota-based firm, explained to investors that the hedge fund industry is facing a challenging environment. He explained that the industry has only a few “outsized opportunities.” The fund returned profits of 10 percent in 2013, but has so far this year only managed to grow the fund by 1.4 percent.
Pine Grove Asset Management, a New Jersey-based fund of funds, was acquired by Man Group, the world’s largest publicly traded hedge fund. PGAM is an investment firm that has about $1 billion under management and was founded in 1994. PGAM charges their investors fees to pick credit hedge funds.
CEO of Man Group Emmanuel Roman has been on the look-out for purchases to help expand their US business. The US is the largest market for hedge funds and asset managers.
Man’s President Luke Ellis said:
“FRM’s longstanding strategy has been to help investors use hedge funds to achieve their investment goals. Pine Grove has a long and accomplished track record of outperformance and is an excellent addition to the FRM business.”
Back in November 2011 Carl Huttenlocher, former head of Highbridge Capital Management LLC Asia, said he would close down his Myriad Asset Management Ltd hedge fund to new money when he reached $2 billion AUM. However, according to three anonymous sources, the fund climbed from almost $2.4 billion at the beginning of 2014 to almost $3 billion today.
It is expected that the Hong Kong-based hedge fund will indeed stop accepting new capital contributions soon, according to one of the sources. Huttenlocher will not comment due to regulatory rules.
Myriad has become one of the largest Asian hedge fund start-ups since 2008. The global financial crisis has caused investors to prefer larger, more established funds. The crisis spawned greater risk awareness and aversion as incoming money has been dominated by larger institutional investors such as pension funds which are not allowed to invest in smaller, more risky funds.
“The multi-billion-dollar gatekeepers serving multi-billion-dollar institutional clients will tend to only show them multi-billion-dollar products,” said Ed Rogers, chief executive officer of Tokyo-based Rogers Investment Advisors. “They’re seen as safe. You don’t get fired for allocating to that kind of manager.”